Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Western United had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Western United win it was 2-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Melbourne City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Melbourne City.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Melbourne City |
17.52% (![]() | 18.41% (![]() | 64.07% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.41% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.67% (![]() | 30.32% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.42% (![]() | 51.57% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.71% (![]() | 30.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.54% (![]() | 66.45% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.95% (![]() | 9.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.21% (![]() | 30.78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 4.7% (![]() 1-0 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.87% ( ![]() Other @ 3.47% Total : 17.52% | 1-1 @ 7.86% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.8% ( ![]() Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.41% | 1-2 @ 9.45% (![]() 0-2 @ 7.91% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.57% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.33% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 4.25% Total : 64.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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