

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Western United had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Western United win it was 2-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Melbourne City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Melbourne City.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 17.52% ( | 18.41% ( | 64.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.67% ( | 30.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.42% ( | 51.57% ( |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% ( | 30.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.54% ( | 66.45% ( |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.95% ( | 9.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.21% ( | 30.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 4.7% ( 1-0 @ 3.27% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 2-0 @ 1.96% ( 3-1 @ 1.87% ( Other @ 3.47% Total : 17.52% | 1-1 @ 7.86% ( 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0-0 @ 2.74% ( 3-3 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.41% | 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 1-3 @ 7.57% ( 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0-3 @ 6.33% ( 1-4 @ 4.55% ( 2-3 @ 4.52% ( 0-4 @ 3.81% ( 2-4 @ 2.72% ( 1-5 @ 2.18% ( 0-5 @ 1.83% ( 2-5 @ 1.31% ( 3-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 4.25% Total : 64.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
| 11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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