

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 74.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 9.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 3-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 74.14% ( | 16.18% ( | 9.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.96% ( | 39.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.64% ( | 61.36% ( |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.97% ( | 9.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.26% ( | 30.74% ( |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.55% ( | 47.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.18% ( | 82.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-0 @ 12.38% ( 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 3-0 @ 9.93% ( 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 3-1 @ 7.4% ( 4-0 @ 5.97% ( 4-1 @ 4.45% ( 5-0 @ 2.87% ( 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 5-1 @ 2.14% ( 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 6-0 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.89% Total : 74.13% | 1-1 @ 7.68% ( 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 2-2 @ 3.44% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 16.18% | 0-1 @ 3.19% ( 1-2 @ 2.86% ( 0-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 9.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
| > Premier League Full Table | |||||||||
