Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 16.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
65.38% | 18.43% (![]() | 16.19% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.19% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.93% (![]() | 33.07% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.19% (![]() | 54.81% (![]() |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.49% (![]() | 9.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.12% (![]() | 31.88% (![]() |
Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.51% (![]() | 33.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.88% (![]() | 70.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
2-1 @ 9.64% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.81% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.56% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.49% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.91% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.14% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 4.71% Total : 65.38% | 1-1 @ 8.2% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.43% | 1-2 @ 4.48% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.64% ( ![]() Other @ 2.76% Total : 16.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
> Premier League Full Table |