

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Liverpool |
| 41.73% ( | 25.55% ( | 32.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.2% ( | 48.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.1% ( | 70.9% ( |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( | 23.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.86% ( | 57.14% ( |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( | 28.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.01% ( | 63.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 2-0 @ 7% ( 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.73% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 1-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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