Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea | Draw | Liverpool |
41.73% (![]() | 25.55% (![]() | 32.72% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.07% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.2% (![]() | 48.8% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.1% (![]() | 70.9% (![]() |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.77% (![]() | 23.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.86% (![]() | 57.14% (![]() |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.73% (![]() | 28.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.01% (![]() | 63.99% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea | Draw | Liverpool |
1-0 @ 9.59% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.84% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.73% | 1-1 @ 12.11% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 8.3% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.65% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
> Premier League Full Table |