Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.