Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 37.66% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.09%) and 3-2 (4.74%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.