La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Real Madrid
1 - 1
Atletico
The Match
Match Report
Alvaro Rodriguez scores a late leveller for Real Madrid, with the La Liga champions coming from behind to draw 1-1 with 10-man Atletico Madrid in the Madrid derby.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's Madrid derby with Atletico Madrid.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Liverpool 2-5 Real Madrid
Tuesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, February 19 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, February 19 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
60.64% ( -0.01) | 21.37% ( 0) | 17.99% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
