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La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Atletico Madrid logo
Osasuna
0 - 1
Atletico

Brasanac (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Niguez (74')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Sevilla
Wednesday, January 25 at 9pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Osasuna 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Despite Osasuna having a strong home record this season, they have lost three times in front of their own fans, while Atletico have been solid on their travels, picking up 17 points from nine matches. It would not be a shock to see a home win or a draw, but we just have a feeling that the visitors could sneak a huge win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
OsasunaDrawAtletico Madrid
23.35% (-0.55 -0.55) 25.48% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 51.18% (0.642 0.64)
Both teams to score 48.72% (-0.304 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.05% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)53.95% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)75.4% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.75% (-0.568 -0.57)38.24% (0.571 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25% (-0.551 -0.55)75% (0.55300000000001 0.55)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (0.229 0.23)21.1% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07% (0.354 0.35)53.93% (-0.352 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 23.35%
    Atletico Madrid 51.17%
    Draw 25.47%
OsasunaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-1 @ 5.8% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.73% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.86% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.35%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 12.55% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 9.77% (0.176 0.18)
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.07% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.97% (0.062 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 51.17%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Atletico

Osasuna
14.7%
Draw
14.7%
Atletico Madrid
70.6%
109
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3.15pm
Osasuna
0-3
Atletico

Avila (34')
Felix (3'), Suarez (59'), Correa (89')
Vrsaljko (54'), Serrano (90')
Nov 20, 2021 5.30pm
Atletico
1-0
Osasuna
Felipe (87')
Griezmann (45'), Martin (89')

Torro (56'), Garcia (82')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
Atletico
2-1
Osasuna
Lodi (82'), Suarez (88')
Suarez (89')
Budimir (75')
Budimir (76'), Brasanac (84')
Oct 31, 2020 5.30pm
Osasuna
1-3
Atletico
Budimir (80')
Herrera (42')
Felix (43' pen., 69'), Torreira (88')
Koke (72'), Llorente (91')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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7.15pm
Monfils
Baez
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona37284569185188
2Real Madrid37245874353977
3Atletico MadridAtletico37237768313776
4Real Sociedad37208949341568
5Villarreal371961257381963
6Real BetisBetis37178124540559
7Osasuna37148153541-650
8Athletic Bilbao37148154642450
9GironaGirona371310145753449
10Rayo Vallecano371310144550-549
11Sevilla371310144652-649
12Mallorca37138163443-947
13Valencia37118184144-341
14CadizCadiz371011162952-2341
15Getafe371011163445-1141
16Almeria37117194662-1640
17Celta Vigo371010174152-1140
18Real ValladolidValladolid37116203363-3039
REspanyol37812174966-1736
RElcheElche3759232966-3724

Real Madrid Until The End
Ted Lasso creative

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