

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
| 57.85% | 25.29% | 16.87% |
| Both teams to score 40.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.79% | 60.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.6% | 80.4% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% | 20.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.39% | 53.61% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.91% | 49.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.98% | 84.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 16.05% 2-0 @ 12.57% 2-1 @ 8.95% 3-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 4.67% 4-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.99% Total : 57.84% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 0-0 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.3% 1-2 @ 4.07% 0-2 @ 2.6% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.94% Total : 16.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 65 | 15 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 35 | 22 | 5 | 8 | 70 | 33 | 37 | 71 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 65 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 60 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 56 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 50 |
| 8 | GironaGirona | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 48 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 48 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 47 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 46 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 44 |
| 13 | Valencia | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 40 |
| 14 | Almeria | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 39 |
| 15 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 39 |
| 16 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 |
| 17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 35 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 35 |
| 18 | Getafe | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 35 |
| 19 | Espanyol | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 34 |
| R | ElcheElche | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | 65 | -38 | 20 |
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