Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.12%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 27.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
44.12% | 28.84% | 27.04% |
Both teams to score 42.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.84% | 63.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.42% | 82.59% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.43% | 28.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.64% | 64.36% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.9% | 40.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.26% | 76.74% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 14.35% 2-0 @ 8.99% 2-1 @ 8.22% 3-0 @ 3.75% 3-1 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.56% Total : 44.12% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 11.45% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.83% | 0-1 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 5.99% 0-2 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.37% Total : 27.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
19 | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |