Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 22.82% | 26.22% | 50.96% |
| Both teams to score 46.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.89% | 57.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.02% | 77.98% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.47% | 40.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.87% | 77.14% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.5% | 22.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.94% | 56.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-1 @ 5.55% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.25% 3-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.28% Total : 22.82% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 9.12% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 13.6% 0-2 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-3 @ 5.05% 1-3 @ 4.56% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-4 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.82% Total : 50.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 45 | 7 | 38 | 59 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 17 | 29 | 51 |
| 3 | Real Sociedad | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 43 |
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 41 |
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 40 |
| 6 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 34 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 32 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 31 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | GironaGirona | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 25 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 24 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 24 |
| 15 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Getafe | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | Almeria | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | CadizCadiz | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 22 |
| 19 | Valencia | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 20 |
| 20 | ElcheElche | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 48 | -31 | 9 |
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