Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 53.5% ( | 26.16% ( | 20.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.8% ( | 59.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.37% ( | 79.63% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( | 22.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.27% ( | 55.73% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.67% ( | 44.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.61% ( | 80.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 14.82% ( 2-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 4-1 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 53.49% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 9.88% ( 2-2 @ 3.69% ( Other @ 0.54% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 2-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 1.79% Total : 20.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 37 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 74 |
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 69 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 67 |
| 4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 66 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Salford City | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 43 | 17 | 62 |
| 7 | Bradford CityBradford | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 61 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 58 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 56 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 55 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 51 |
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 51 |
| 13 | Walsall | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 49 |
| 14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 49 |
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 39 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 46 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 44 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
| 19 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 42 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 38 |
| 21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 37 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 37 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 32 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 26 |
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