

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for Adelaide United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 50.17% ( | 22.53% ( | 27.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.15% ( | 37.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.9% ( | 60.1% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.66% ( | 15.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.89% ( | 44.11% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( | 26.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.46% ( | 61.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 1-0 @ 7.59% ( 2-0 @ 7.11% ( 3-1 @ 5.92% ( 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-2 @ 3.94% ( 4-1 @ 2.77% ( 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 5-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 3.95% Total : 50.17% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0-0 @ 4.05% ( 3-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0-1 @ 5.4% ( 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( 2-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
| 11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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