

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 41.8% ( | 24.43% ( | 33.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.53% ( | 43.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.13% ( | 65.87% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( | 20.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.37% ( | 53.63% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.94% ( | 25.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.26% ( | 59.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 4-2 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 3-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
| 11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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