Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.