Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Man City
4 - 1
Arsenal
Reaction
Erling Braut Haaland breaks Premier League 38-game season scoring record
Erling Braut Haaland holds the record for the most goals scored in a 38-game Premier League season after finding the net in Manchester City's 4-1 home win over Arsenal on Wednesday.
Apr 26, 23:18
Kevin De Bruyne draws level with Frank Lampard on Premier League all-time assist list
Kevin De Bruyne moves level with Frank Lampard in fourth place on the all-time Premier League assist list after setting up a goal in Manchester City's 4-1 home win over Arsenal on Wednesday.
Apr 26, 23:57
Pep Guardiola: 'Premier League destiny is in our hands'
Pep Guardiola believes that Manchester City are in pole position to retain the Premier League title after beating leaders Arsenal 4-1 at the Etihad Stadium on Wednesday night.
Apr 27, 00:56
Mikel Arteta refusing to give up on Premier League title after Man City defeat
Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta refuses to give up on the Premier League title following his side's 4-1 crushing at the hands of champions Manchester City.
Apr 27, 07:15
The Match
Match Report
A scintillating Manchester City seize control of the Premier League title race with a thoroughly deserved 4-1 win over a meek Arsenal at the Etihad Stadium.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Arsenal.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's Premier League clash with Arsenal.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Premier League clash with Manchester City.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man City 3-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, April 22 at 4.45pm in FA Cup
Saturday, April 22 at 4.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 3-3 Southampton
Friday, April 21 at 8pm in Premier League
Friday, April 21 at 8pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 59.75%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 21.1% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (5.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Arsenal |
59.75% ( 0.51) | 19.15% ( -0.06) | 21.1% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 67.37% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
