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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 1, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Manchester City logo
Arsenal
1 - 2
Man City
Saka (31')
Xhaka (55'), Magalhaes (57'), Saka (63'), Holding (68')
Magalhaes (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mahrez (57' pen.), Rodri (90+3')
Rodri (90+4'), Silva (90+5')
The Match
Team News
Pep Guardiola will have to cope without Phil Foden when his Manchester City side lock horns with Arsenal for Saturday's Premier League clash at the Emirates Stadium.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Manchester City could line up in Saturday's Premier League clash with Arsenal.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of the Premier League fixture with Arsenal.

We said: Arsenal 1-2 Manchester City

Arsenal will be feeling good about themselves after a strong run of results, and we are expecting this to be a tight contest at the Emirates Stadium. Man City's record against the Gunners cannot be ignored, though, and we are backing Guardiola's side to pick up another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for an Arsenal win it was 1-0 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
ArsenalDrawManchester City
24.2%25.06%50.74%
Both teams to score 50.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.38%51.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.6%73.41%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.83%36.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.05%72.96%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.65%20.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.25%52.75%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 24.2%
    Manchester City 50.74%
    Draw 25.06%
ArsenalDrawManchester City
1-0 @ 7.49%
2-1 @ 6.06%
2-0 @ 3.81%
3-1 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.64%
3-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 24.2%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.36%
2-2 @ 4.82%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 11.72%
1-2 @ 9.49%
0-2 @ 9.33%
1-3 @ 5.04%
0-3 @ 4.95%
2-3 @ 2.56%
1-4 @ 2%
0-4 @ 1.97%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 50.74%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Man City

Arsenal
31.9%
Draw
17.3%
Manchester City
50.8%
423
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Man City
5-0
Arsenal
Gundogan (7'), Torres (12', 84'), Jesus (43'), Rodri (53')
Rodri (67')

Soares (24'), Kolasinac (28')
Xhaka (35')
Feb 21, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 25
Arsenal
0-1
Man City

Xhaka (53'), Bellerin (87')
Sterling (2')
Silva (51'), Cancelo (64')
Dec 22, 2020 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Arsenal
1-4
Man City
Lacazette (31')
Elneny (23'), Mustafi (25')
Jesus (3'), Mahrez (54'), Foden (59'), Laporte (73')
Silva (65')
Oct 17, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Man City
1-0
Arsenal
Sterling (23')
Rodri (14'), Cancelo (63'), Dias (68'), Ake (84')

Partey (90+4')
Jul 18, 2020 7.45pm
[nma]
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Tottenham HotspurSpurs86201881020
2Arsenal86201661020
3Manchester CityMan City86021761118
4Liverpool8521189917
5Aston Villa85121912716
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton85122116516
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham84221512314
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle84132091113
9Crystal Palace833277012
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd8404912-312
11Chelsea8323117411
12Fulham8323813-511
13Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest8233810-29
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves8224914-58
15Brentford81431112-17
16Everton8215912-37
17Luton TownLuton8116615-94
18Burnley8116720-134
19Bournemouth8035518-133
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd8017622-161

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