Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.