Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
34.23% ( 1.28) | 23.44% ( 0.29) | 42.33% ( -1.57) |
Both teams to score 63.05% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.41% ( -1.01) | 38.59% ( 1.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.11% ( -1.07) | 60.89% ( 1.08) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( 0.23) | 22.51% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.92% ( 0.34) | 56.08% ( -0.34) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.37% ( -1.06) | 18.63% ( 1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.06% ( -1.81) | 49.94% ( 1.81) |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 34.23% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.56% Total : 42.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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