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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Apr 30, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
New York City
Toronto
1 - 0
NY City
Sapong (46')
Laryea (65'), Hedges (72'), Johnson (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Parks (54')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 3-1 Dallas
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2-1 New York City FC

 Sean Johnson has been an elite shot-stopper in this league for quite some time and has proven he can steal a game on his own. Given the Reds' significant injury concerns, we expect the ex-NYCFC keeper to take his game to a level we have come to expect this weekend, while getting his new team back in the win column.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Toronto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Toronto.

Result
TorontoDrawNew York City FC
39.92% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 25.34% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 34.75% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.31% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (-0.153 -0.15)47.42% (0.15 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (-0.141 -0.14)69.63% (0.14 0.14)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.47% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)23.53% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.43% (-0.073 -0.07)57.57% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (-0.113 -0.11)26.36% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49% (-0.149 -0.15)61.51% (0.147 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 39.92%
    New York City FC 34.75%
    Draw 25.33%
TorontoDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 8.97% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.49% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.92%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 34.75%

How you voted: Toronto vs NY City

Toronto
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
New York City FC
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 10pm
NY City
5-4
Toronto
Castellanos (38'), Andrade (49'), Rodriguez (54'), Parks (58'), Pereira (75')
Acevedo (40'), Morales (83')
Morales (90')
Jimenez (13', 27'), Kerr (87'), Bradley (90+1')
Jimenez (44')
Apr 2, 2022 9pm
Toronto
2-1
NY City
Jimenez (31'), Martins (43' og.)
Heber (90+2')
Martins (59'), Callens (59')
Aug 8, 2021 1am
gameweek 23
Toronto
2-2
NY City
Laryea (49'), Pozuelo (55')
Soteldo (25'), Laryea (36'), Priso-Mbongue (63')
Rodriguez (12'), Tajouri (21')
Morales (90+2')
May 15, 2021 6pm
gameweek 7
NY City
1-1
Toronto
Medina (53')
Acevedo (30'), Jasson (42')
Shaffelburg (74')
Mavinga (65')
Oct 28, 2020 11.30pm
gameweek 22
Toronto
0-1
NY City

Morrow (3')
Medina (51')
Callens (45+1'), Castellanos (75'), Medina (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati1410312214833
2Nashville SCNashville1584322101228
3New England RevolutionNew England147432217525
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia147342315824
5Atlanta UnitedAtlanta156542925423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156362025-521
7Orlando City145541717020
8DC United155462018219
9Columbus Crew145362620618
10CF MontrealMontreal146081322-918
11Chicago Fire143742124-316
12New York City FCNY City144461619-316
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls153751013-316
14Toronto153751519-416
15Inter MiamiInter Miami145091418-415

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City1482429141526
2Seattle SoundersSeattle158252113826
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles1274123101325
4Dallas156631714324
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145451819-119
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd145451315-219
7Houston DynamoHouston135351312118
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver144551917217
9Portland TimbersPortland154471924-516
10Austin FCAustin144461420-616
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144461423-916
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas153481322-913
13Colorado RapidsColorado152671222-1012
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy142391024-149
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