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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 70.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for DC United had a probability of 11.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | DC United |
70.81% (![]() | 17.49% (![]() | 11.69% |
Both teams to score 50.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.7% (![]() | 39.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.36% (![]() | 61.64% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.11% (![]() | 9.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.24% (![]() | 32.76% (![]() |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.13% | 43.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.98% (![]() | 80.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | DC United |
2-0 @ 11.61% 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 8.96% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.38% 4-0 @ 5.18% 4-1 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 3.04% 5-0 @ 2.4% 5-1 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.76% 6-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.71% Total : 70.81% | 1-1 @ 8.27% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.34% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.94% Total : 17.49% | 0-1 @ 3.57% 1-2 @ 3.41% 0-2 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.08% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.22% Total : 11.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 68 |
2 | Orlando City | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 60 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 55 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 65 | 45 | 20 | 54 |
5 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 54 | 42 | 12 | 52 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 50 |
7 | Nashville SCNashville | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 46 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 41 |
9 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 40 |
10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 40 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 39 |
13 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 33 |
15 | Toronto | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 56 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 50 |
4 | Houston DynamoHouston | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 48 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 54 | 47 | 7 | 47 |
6 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 46 |
7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 43 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 43 |
9 | Dallas | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 41 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 38 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 35 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 26 |