Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Istra 1961 and Sibenik.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-0 Varazdin
Sunday, May 11 at 5.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Sunday, May 11 at 5.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Goals
for
for
35
Last Game: Sibenik 0-1 Rijeka
Saturday, May 10 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Saturday, May 10 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Istra 1961 win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Sibenik had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Istra 1961 win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Sibenik win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Istra 1961 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NK Istra 1961 | Draw | Sibenik |
54.69% ( 0.17) | 25.7% ( -0.08) | 19.61% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 43.48% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
