Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 25, 2025 at 4pm UK

Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth
2 - 0
Leicester

Semenyo (74', 88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Thomas (16'), Coady (38')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions

Last Game: Man City 3-1 Bournemouth
Tuesday, May 20 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Leicester City

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 2-0 Ipswich
Sunday, May 18 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bournemouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bournemouth.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Leicester City
63.19% ( 5.9)	20.26% ( -1.76)	16.54% ( -4.14)

Both teams to score 54.22% (

-1.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.83% (

1.36)

41.17% (

-1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.43% (

1.37)

63.57% (

-1.37)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.59% (

2.21)

12.41% (

-2.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.69% (

4.42)

38.31% (

-4.42)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.9% (

-3.71)

38.1% (

3.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.14% (

-3.77)

74.86% (

3.77)

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 63.19%

Leicester City 16.55%

Draw 20.26%

Bournemouth	Draw	Leicester City
2-0 @ 10.29% ( 1) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 7.16% ( 1.2) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.55) 4-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.87) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.55) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.46) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.33) Other @ 3.56% Total : 63.19%	1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.79) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.5) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.26%	1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.91) 0-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.8) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.66) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.48) Other @ 2.17% Total : 16.55%