Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 76.75%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 9.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.9%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.14%), while for a Leicester City win it was 2-1 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.