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EFL Cup
Liverpool logo
EFL Cup | Final
Mar 16, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Newcastle logo

Liverpool
1 - 2
Newcastle

Chiesa (90+4')
Chiesa (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burn (45'), Isak (52')
Tonali (90+9'), Pope (90')
Reaction
Newcastle United manager Eddie Howe celebrates with the EFL Cup on March 16, 2025
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 Dan Burn celebrates with the EFL Cup on March 16, 2025
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 Liverpool manager Arne Slot pictured on March 11, 2025
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 Newcastle United manager Eddie Howe celebrates with the EFL Cup on March 16, 2025
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The Match

Match Report

Newcastle end a 70-year domestic trophy drought with a famous and deserved 2-1 triumph over Liverpool in the EFL Cup final at Wembley.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's EFL Cup clash between Liverpool and Newcastle United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's EFL Cup clash between Liverpool and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Sunday's EFL Cup final against Newcastle United.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's EFL Cup final against Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 PSG (1-4 pen.)
Tuesday, March 11 at 8pm in Champions League

Newcastle United

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: West Ham 0-1 Newcastle
Monday, March 10 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 16.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 3-1 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
LiverpoolDrawNewcastle United
65.23% (0.081000000000003 0.08) 18.31% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 16.46% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.33% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.09% (0.151 0.15)31.9% (-0.155 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.54% (0.17599999999999 0.18)53.45% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.77% (0.057000000000002 0.06)9.22% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.79% (0.14200000000001 0.14)31.2% (-0.146 -0.15)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (0.052999999999997 0.05)32.43% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04% (0.061 0.06)68.95% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 65.23%
    Newcastle United 16.46%
    Draw 18.31%
LiverpoolDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.5% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.6% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.13% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.75%
4-1 @ 4.53% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.28% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.55% (0.015 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.16% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.92% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.22% (0.011 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.96% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 65.23%
1-1 @ 8.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 18.31%
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 16.46%

How you voted: Liverpool vs Newcastle

Liverpool
72.1%
Draw
9.5%
Newcastle United
18.4%
348
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2025 8.15pm
Gameweek 27
Liverpool
2-0
Newcastle
Szoboszlai (11'), Mac Allister (63')

Murphy (80')
> Match Report
Dec 4, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Newcastle
3-3
Liverpool
Isak (35'), Gordon (62'), Schar (90')
Tonali (58'), Pope (90+6')
Jones (50'), Salah (68', 83')
Mac Allister (20'), Quansah (42'), Gravenberch (45'), Alexander-Arnold (69'), Nunez (71')
> Match Report
Jan 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 20
Liverpool
4-2
Newcastle
Salah (49', 86' pen.), Jones (74'), Gakpo (78')
Diaz (45'), Alexander-Arnold (45+5'), Endo (66')
Isak (54'), Botman (81')
Guimaraes (28'), Miley (45+2'), Joelinton (66'), Dubravka (84'), Longstaff (89')
> Match Report
Aug 27, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Newcastle
1-2
Liverpool
Gordon (25')
Trippier (51')
Nunez (81', 90+3')
Alexander-Arnold (6'), Nunez (85')
van Dijk (28')
> Match Report
Feb 18, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Newcastle
0-2
Liverpool
Nunez (10'), Gakpo (17')
> Match Report
Build-up
Newcastle United manager Eddie Howe reacts on July 27, 2024
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Mar 6, 14:25
 Liverpool's Trent Alexander-Arnold after sustaining an injury on March 11, 2025
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Mar 12, 00:07
 Liverpool's Trent Alexander-Arnold pictured on March 11, 2025
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Mar 12, 14:51
 Liverpool's Trent Alexander-Arnold pictured on October 23, 2024
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Mar 13, 07:00
 Liverpool's Trent Alexander-Arnold pictured on March 11, 2025
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 Newcastle United's Alexander Isak celebrates on February 23, 2025.
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 Newcastle United's Bruno Guimaraes and Liverpool's Dominik Szoboszlai pictured on January 1, 2024
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 Darwin Nunez celebrates scoring against Southampton for Liverpool, on March 8, 2025
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Mar 14, 17:53
 Liverpool's Mohamed Salah celebrates scoring on December 22, 2024
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 Birmingham City's Obafemi Martins celebrates with teammates on February 27, 2011
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 Arne Slot faces a selection dilemma up front
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 Liverpool's Ibrahima Konate pictured on October 23, 2024
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Mar 16, 15:35
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool34257280324882
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511
> Premier League Full Table


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