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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Anfield
Southampton logo

Liverpool
3 - 1
Southampton

Nunez (51'), Salah (54' pen., 88' pen.)
Tsimikas (31'), Nunez (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Smallbone (45+1')
Onuachu (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Saturday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Southampton.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Southampton.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Saturday's Premier League showdown with Southampton at Anfield.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash with Southampton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 0-1 Liverpool
Wednesday, March 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea 4-0 Southampton
Tuesday, February 25 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 87.51%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 4.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 4-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.89%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawSouthampton
87.51% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 8.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01) 4.02% (0.0089000000000006 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.49% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.36% (0.133 0.13)22.64% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.23% (0.177 0.18)41.77% (-0.171 -0.17)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.68% (0.025000000000006 0.03)3.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.38% (0.072999999999993 0.07)14.62% (-0.067 -0.07)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.13% (0.159 0.16)50.88% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.74% (0.107 0.11)85.26% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 87.5%
    Southampton 4.02%
    Draw 8.47%
LiverpoolDrawSouthampton
3-0 @ 11.11% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.79% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 9.46% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 6.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 6.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 6.4% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.75% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-1 @ 4.36% (0.019 0.02)
6-0 @ 3.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.013 0.01)
6-1 @ 2.47% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.16% (0.015 0.02)
7-0 @ 1.78% (0.006 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.47% (0.013 0.01)
7-1 @ 1.2% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.78%
Total : 87.5%
1-1 @ 3.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.24% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 1.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 8.47%
1-2 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
0-1 @ 1.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 4.02%

How you voted: Liverpool vs Southampton

Liverpool
89.5%
Draw
3.9%
Southampton
6.6%
152
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Southampton
1-2
Liverpool
Archer (59')
Downes (57'), Brereton Diaz (90+4')
Nunez (24'), Elliott (32')
Elliott (57'), McConnell (90')
Nov 24, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 12
Southampton
2-3
Liverpool
Armstrong (42'), Fernandes (56')
Lallana (23'), Armstrong (73'), Stephens (90+8')
Szoboszlai (30'), Salah (65', 83')
Bradley (13'), Konate (16'), Gakpo (49'), Salah (84')
Feb 28, 2024 8pm
Fifth Round
Liverpool
3-0
Southampton
Koumas (44'), Danns (73', 88')

Manning (79')
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 38
Southampton
4-4
Liverpool
Ward-Prowse (19'), Deen Sulemana (28', 48'), Armstrong (64')
Jota (10', 73'), Firmino (14'), Gakpo (72')
Tsimikas (25'), Elliott (60')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Liverpool
3-1
Southampton
Firmino (6'), Nunez (21', 42')
Adams (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool34257280324882
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


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