Aston Villa

2 - 2

Liverpool

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.