PSV

3 - 2

Liverpool

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 54.9%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.71%) and 3-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.