Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
1 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Schouten (15')
Junior (22'), Tillman (64'), Lang (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Braganca (84')
Tcherno Quenda (53'), Braganca (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Willem II 0-2 PSV
Saturday, September 28 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Estoril 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, September 27 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
39.87% ( -0.44)	24.98% ( 0.1)	35.14% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 57.63% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.26% (

-0.4)

45.74% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.94% (

-0.38)

68.06% (

0.38)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.19% (

-0.4)

22.81% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.48% (

-0.59)

56.52% (

0.59)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66% (

0.01)

25.34% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.88% (

0.01)

60.12% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 39.87%

Sporting Lisbon 35.15%

Draw 24.97%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.87%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.97%	1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.15%