
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.13%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 3.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.12%) and 0-4 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.93%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (1.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 3.53% ( | 8.33% ( | 88.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.66% ( | 25.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.63% ( | 45.36% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.3% ( | 55.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 11.7% ( | 88.29% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.35% ( | 3.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 84.29% ( | 15.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 1.19% ( 2-1 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 1.2% Total : 3.53% | 1-1 @ 3.93% ( 0-0 @ 2.03% ( 2-2 @ 1.91% ( Other @ 0.47% Total : 8.33% | 0-3 @ 12.28% ( 0-2 @ 11.12% ( 0-4 @ 10.17% ( 1-3 @ 7.19% ( 0-5 @ 6.74% ( 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 1-4 @ 5.96% ( 1-5 @ 3.95% ( 0-6 @ 3.72% ( 1-6 @ 2.18% ( 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0-7 @ 1.76% ( 2-4 @ 1.74% ( 2-5 @ 1.16% ( 1-7 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.77% Total : 88.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 70 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 46 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 34 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 |
| 12 | Heracles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Groningen | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 30 |
| 16 | Willem II | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 57 | -37 | 19 |
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