
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.13%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 3.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.12%) and 0-4 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.93%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (1.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | PSV Eindhoven | 
| 3.53% (  -1.49) | 8.33% (  -1.73) | 88.13% (  3.21) | 
| Both teams to score 42.69% (  -4.98) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 74.66% (  0.93) | 25.34% (  -0.93) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 54.63% (  1.19) | 45.36% (  -1.2) | 
| Almere City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 44.3% (  -5.5) | 55.7% (  5.5) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 11.7% (  -3.5) | 88.29% (  3.49) | 
| PSV Eindhoven Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 96.35% (  0.64) | 3.64% (  -0.65) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 84.29% (  2.08) | 15.7% (  -2.09) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Almere City | Draw | PSV Eindhoven | 
| 1-0 @ 1.19% (  -0.3) 2-1 @ 1.15% (  -0.46) Other @ 1.2% Total : 3.53% | 1-1 @ 3.93% (  -0.74) 0-0 @ 2.03% (  -0.12) 2-2 @ 1.91% (  -0.63) Other @ 0.47% Total : 8.33% | 0-3 @ 12.28% (  1.08) 0-2 @ 11.12% (  0.45) 0-4 @ 10.17% (  1.35) 1-3 @ 7.19% (  -0.53) 0-5 @ 6.74% (  1.19) 0-1 @ 6.72% (  -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.51% (  -0.84) 1-4 @ 5.96% (  -0.12) 1-5 @ 3.95% (  0.12) 0-6 @ 3.72% (  0.81) 1-6 @ 2.18% (  0.17) 2-3 @ 2.11% (  -0.56) 0-7 @ 1.76% (  0.45) 2-4 @ 1.74% (  -0.35) 2-5 @ 1.16% (  -0.17) 1-7 @ 1.03% (  0.13) Other @ 3.77% Total : 88.11% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 70 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 46 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 | 
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 34 | 
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 | 
| 12 | Heracles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 | 
| 13 | Groningen | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 | 
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31 | 
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 30 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 24 | 
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 | 
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 57 | -37 | 19 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
