We said: Fiorentina 2-0 Parma
Since losing 3-1 at Inter and 5-0 at Roma in December, four of Parma's seven away losses (with three draws) have been by narrow margins, highlighting the Emilians' defensive resilience.
Firing blanks in four of those seven games magnifies their goalscoring troubles, which could undermine them in Florence.
Consequently, Fiorentina are expected to secure a routine victory in Sunday's encounter, marking their fourth straight success in front of their supporters.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
0.11) 
-0.05) 
