Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Parma had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Parma |
44.26% | 26.11% | 29.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.92% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.74% (![]() | 52.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.04% | 73.97% (![]() |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.5% (![]() | 23.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.46% | 57.55% (![]() |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.87% (![]() | 32.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.39% (![]() | 68.61% |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.58% 1-2 @ 7.05% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.87% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Juventus | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 70 |
5 | Roma | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 69 |
6 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 65 |
8 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 |
9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 |
11 | Torino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 44 |
12 | Udinese | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 |
13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 |
16 | Parma | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 36 |
17 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 29 |
R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 |
> Serie A Full Table |