Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 9, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
5 - 1
Monza

Marusic (31'), Pedro (57', 77'), Castellanos (63'), Dele-Bashiru (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sensi (86' pen.)
Dietz (40'), Pereira (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cagliari 1-2 Lazio
Monday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 0-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, February 1 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Monza had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Monza
58.79% ( 1.66)	23.8% ( 0.03)	17.4% ( -1.69)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	38	24	10	4	59	27	32	82
2	Inter Milan	38	24	9	5	79	35	44	81
3	Atalanta BC Atalanta	38	22	8	8	78	37	41	74
4	Juventus	38	18	16	4	58	35	23	70
5	Roma	38	20	9	9	56	35	21	69
6	Fiorentina	38	19	8	11	60	41	19	65
7	Lazio	38	18	11	9	61	49	12	65
8	AC Milan	38	18	9	11	61	43	18	63
9	Bologna	38	16	14	8	57	47	10	62
10	Como	38	13	10	15	49	52	-3	49
11	Torino	38	10	14	14	39	45	-6	44
12	Udinese	38	12	8	18	41	56	-15	44
13	Genoa	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12	43
14	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	38	10	7	21	34	66	-32	37
15	Cagliari Cagliari	38	9	9	20	40	56	-16	36
16	Parma	38	7	15	16	44	58	-14	36
17	Lecce	38	8	10	20	27	58	-31	34
18	Empoli	38	6	13	19	33	59	-26	31
19	Venezia Venezia	38	5	14	19	32	56	-24	29
R	Monza	38	3	9	26	28	69	-41	18
					> Serie A Full Table

Lazio	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 13.95% ( 1.14) 2-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.87) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.28) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.23% Total : 58.78%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.74) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.45) Other @ 0.63% Total : 23.8%	0-1 @ 6.57% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.48) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.53% Total : 17.4%

Serie A

Lazio5 - 1Monza

The Match

Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

Monza

Data Analysis

How you voted: Lazio vs Monza

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Lazio
5 - 1
Monza