Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Jan 13, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Ciurria (44'), Maldini (63')
Turati (61'), Pereira (76'), Bondo (87'), Ciurria (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Beltran (74' pen.)
Ranieri (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Monza and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Cagliari
Sunday, January 5 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-3 Napoli
Saturday, January 4 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.29%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Monza had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.71%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Monza	Draw	Fiorentina
20.67% ( -0.48)	25.04% ( 0.31)	54.29% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 46.68% (

-1.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.06% (

-1.67)

54.94% (

1.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.78% (

-1.4)

76.22% (

1.4)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.51% (

-1.46)

41.48% (

1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.01% (

-1.31)

77.98% (

1.31)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.78% (

-0.59)

20.22% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.46% (

-0.95)

52.54% (

0.95)

Score Analysis

Monza 20.67%

Fiorentina 54.27%

Draw 25.03%

Monza	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.16% Total : 20.67%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.03%	0-1 @ 13.4% ( 0.61) 0-2 @ 10.71% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 5.71% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.5% Total : 54.27%