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Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Udinese logo

Monza
1 - 2
Udinese

Kiriakopoulos (47')
Caprari (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lucca (6'), Bijol (70')
Karlstrom (70'), Bravo Solanilla (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Monza and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 4-0 Monza
Tuesday, December 3 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia

Udinese

All competitions
Last Game: Udinese 0-2 Genoa
Sunday, December 1 at 11.30am in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Udinese in this match.

Result
MonzaDrawUdinese
36.59% (0.064 0.06)27.89% (0.041 0.04)35.52% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 48.14% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.17% (-0.146 -0.15)57.83% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.45% (-0.115 -0.11)78.56% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)30.29% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.54% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)66.46% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (-0.136 -0.14)30.96% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (-0.162 -0.16)67.26% (0.16499999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Monza 36.59%
    Udinese 35.52%
    Draw 27.89%
MonzaDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 11.19% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 36.59%
1-1 @ 13.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.38% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 10.99% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.7% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 35.52%

How you voted: Monza vs Udinese

Monza
27.5%
Draw
26.8%
Udinese
45.8%
153
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