Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Venezia |
| 47.92% ( | 25.01% ( | 27.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.81% ( | 49.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.74% ( | 71.25% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( | 20.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.92% ( | 53.08% ( |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.54% ( | 32.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.02% ( | 68.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Venezia |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 3-1 @ 4.95% ( 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 47.91% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.07% |