Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma2 - 1Venezia
We said: Roma 2-0 Venezia
Fired up by their failure to finish the job last time out, Roma should make a fast start against Venezia, who have conceded the most goals during the first 30 minutes of play in Serie A this season - at an average of one per game. The visitors do not tend to travel well and may be a little overawed on their arrival at Stadio Olimpico, where the hosts can finally post successive league wins. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Venezia win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Venezia |
60.15% ( 0.2) | 21.08% ( -0.09) | 18.77% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
