[monks data]
Minnesota United
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
Jun 15, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
vs.
San Diego

Preview: Minnesota United vs San Diego - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Minnesota United and San Diego, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Minnesota United and San Diego meet in Major League Soccer this week, both aiming to break clear of each other in the top three of the Western Conference.

Eric Ramsay’s team and Mikey Varas’s side are level on 30 points, occupying second and third place respectively, although the visitors currently lead the way due to a marginally superior goal difference.



Match preview

Tani Oluwaseyi of Minnesota United pictured on March 29, 2025

Minnesota returned to winning ways with an impressive 3-2 victory away at Seattle Sounders, inspired by a seven-minute second-half brace from Tani Oluwaseyi and a Robin Lod penalty in between.

The Loons are now unbeaten in four successive MLS matches, although they had been frustrated with back-to-back draws prior to that win in Seattle, having scored only once across those two stalemates.

With 30 points on the board from 17 matches, Ramsay’s men have one more point than they managed at the same stage last season, but they remain five points adrift of Western Conference leaders Vancouver.

Minnesota are now aiming to record successive league victories for the fourth time this term, although they face one of their toughest challenges yet in San Diego, in what will be the first ever meeting between the two clubs.

The Loons have dropped points in half of their home matches this season, drawing three and losing one of their eight fixtures at Allianz Field, although they are currently enjoying a four-game unbeaten run at home across all competitions, with three wins and one draw.

New San Diego FC coach Mikey Varas pictured with the USA U-20 team on May 26, 2023

San Diego’s first-ever MLS campaign has been a success so far, with Varas’s side sitting third in the overall standings and second in the Western Conference as they continue to impress.

SDFC saw their five-match unbeaten run brought to an end by a narrow 1-0 defeat to Seattle Sounders, but they responded in style by beating Austin FC 2-0 in their most recent outing.

One of the key strengths of this San Diego team has been their attacking firepower, with 29 goals scored in 17 matches making them the third-highest scorers in the Western Conference.

However, their away form remains a major concern, with four defeats from seven matches on the road, including four losses in their last five away league fixtures.

Out of the 18 goals conceded this season, 11 have come on opposition territory, and four of their five league defeats have been suffered away from home, leaving plenty of room for improvement in that area.

Minnesota United MLS form:



  • W

  • L

  • W

  • D

  • D

  • W


Minnesota United form (all competitions):



  • L

  • W

  • W

  • D

  • D

  • W


San Diego MLS form:



  • W

  • W

  • D

  • W

  • L

  • W




Team News

 Anders Dreyer of San Diego pictured on February 23, 2025

Minnesota are missing a number of players through injury and international duty, with Carlos Harvey away with Panama for the Gold Cup and Hassani Dotson still sidelined with injury.

Oluwaseyi, who scored twice last time out, and goalkeeper Dayne St Clair have joined up with Canada, while Joseph Rosales is representing Honduras and Kipp Keller remains out with a leg injury.

On a positive note, Lod and Michael Boxall could be available again after their recent international commitments.

San Diego have also lost key players to international duty, with midfielders Luca de la Torre and Anibal Godoy representing the United States and Panama respectively at the Gold Cup.

Meanwhile, Hamady Diop, Manu Duah, Andres Reyes and Marcus Ingvartsen are all expected to miss out due to ongoing leg injuries.

Minnesota United possible starting lineup:

St. Clair; Hlongwane, Markanich, Boxall, Romero, Rosales; Lod, Harvey, Trapp, Gene; Yeboah

San Diego possible starting lineup:

Dos Santos; McVey, McNair, Bombino, Verhoeven; Alvarado, Godoy, Verskov; Dreyer, Valakari, Mighten



SM words green background

We say: Minnesota United 2-1 San Diego

Minnesota United have been strong at Allianz Field recently, coming into this clash unbeaten in four home matches, and with San Diego struggling on their travels and missing key players, the Loons should have the edge. 

For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.





 


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Written by
Joshua Cole

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Minnesota United win with a probability of 65.37%. A draw has a probability of 19% and a win for San Diego has a probability of 15.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.72%), while for a San Diego win it is 1-2 (4.4%).


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