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Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
Major League Soccer | 2nd Leg
Jun 15, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
2 - 4
San Diego

McVey (8' og.), Yeboah (38')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dreyer (11', 66' pen.), Iloski (75', 90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Minnesota United and San Diego, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Seattle 2-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 1 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

San Diego

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: San Diego 2-0 Austin
Sunday, June 1 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Minnesota United win with a probability of 65.37%. A draw has a probability of 19% and a win for San Diego has a probability of 15.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.72%), while for a San Diego win it is 1-2 (4.4%).

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawSan Diego
65.37% (-1.115 -1.11)18.96% (0.42 0.42)15.68% (0.703 0.7)
Both teams to score 56.87% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.25% (-0.52500000000001 -0.53)36.76% (0.534 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.08% (-0.57400000000001 -0.57)58.93% (0.583 0.58)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.47% (-0.42 -0.42)10.54% (0.429 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.75% (-0.96299999999999 -0.96)34.25% (0.972 0.97)
San Diego Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (0.559 0.56)36.44% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.78% (0.558 0.56)73.23% (-0.55 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 65.37%
    San Diego 15.68%
    Draw 18.96%
Minnesota UnitedDrawSan Diego
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-0 @ 8.64% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-0 @ 7.29% (-0.21 -0.21)
4-1 @ 4.14% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-0 @ 4.1% (-0.195 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.86% (-0.095 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.85% (-0.123 -0.12)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 65.37%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.098 0.1)
0-0 @ 3.84% (0.1 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.96%
1-2 @ 4.4% (0.164 0.16)
0-1 @ 3.88% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 1.96% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 15.68%