Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 1-0 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Diego | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 60.32% ( | 19.93% ( | 19.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.99% ( | 34.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.13% ( | 55.87% ( |
| San Diego Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.98% ( | 11.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.66% ( | 35.34% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( | 30.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.49% ( | 66.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| San Diego | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 2-0 @ 8.13% ( 1-0 @ 7.37% ( 3-1 @ 7.13% ( 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 3-2 @ 4.25% ( 4-1 @ 3.93% ( 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 4-2 @ 2.34% ( 5-1 @ 1.73% ( 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 4-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 60.32% | 1-1 @ 8.8% ( 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0-0 @ 3.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 19.93% | 1-2 @ 5.25% ( 0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 19.76% |