We said: San Diego 1-3 Dallas
After a solid start to their debut MLS season, San Diego appear to have run out of steam in recent weeks and will head into Sunday's clash in search of a pick-me-up. However, Dallas journey to the Snapdragon Stadium as the more in-form side and we are tipping them to extend their fine run of results on their travels.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Diego would win this match.