Major League Soccer

May 4, 2025 at 2.15am UK

San Diego
5 - 0
Dallas

Lozano (20' pen., 20' pen., 27', 27'), Dreyer (56', 56'), Valakari (73', 73'), Iloski (87', 87')
Tverskov (55'), Tverskov (55')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Urhoghide (36'), Urhoghide (36'), Ramiro (76'), Ramiro (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between San Diego and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions

Last Game: San Diego 1-3 Salt Lake
Sunday, April 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-4 Dallas
Sunday, April 27 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Diego would win this match.

Result
San Diego	Draw	Dallas
43.81% ( 0.44)	23.52% ( 0.03)	32.66% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 62.17% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.49% (

-0.32)

39.5% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.15% (

-0.34)

61.85% (

0.35)

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

0.05)

18.38% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.48% (

0.09)

49.52% (

-0.08)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.18% (

-0.42)

23.82% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.01% (

-0.61)

57.99% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

San Diego 43.81%

Dallas 32.66%

Draw 23.52%

San Diego	Draw	Dallas
2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.62% Total : 43.81%	1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.66%

Form Guide

San Diego 1-3 Salt Lake

Charlotte FC 3-0 San Diego

Colorado 3-2 San Diego

San Diego 3-0 Seattle

San Diego 3-2 Los Angeles

Austin 2-1 San Diego

Inter Miami 3-4 Dallas

Minnesota Utd 0-0 Dallas

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Eastern Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union Philadelphia	14	8	3	3	24	12	12	27
2	Columbus Crew	14	7	5	2	22	18	4	26
3	FC Cincinnati Cincinnati	15	8	2	5	21	21	0	26
4	Inter Miami Inter Miami	13	7	3	3	26	19	7	24
5	New York City FC NY City	15	7	3	5	20	17	3	24
6	Nashville SC Nashville	14	6	4	4	24	17	7	22
7	Charlotte FC Charlotte FC	14	7	1	6	22	18	4	22
8	Chicago Fire	15	6	4	5	28	28	0	22
9	Orlando City	14	5	6	3	25	18	7	21
10	New York Red Bulls NY Red Bulls	14	6	3	5	21	15	6	21
11	New England Revolution New England	13	6	3	4	15	10	5	21
12	DC United	14	4	4	6	15	26	-11	16
13	Toronto	14	3	4	7	16	19	-3	13
14	Atlanta United Atlanta	15	3	4	8	17	27	-10	13
15	CF Montreal Montreal	14	1	3	10	7	25	-18	6

Western Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver	13	8	4	1	24	10	14	28
2	Minnesota United Minnesota Utd	14	8	4	2	25	13	12	28
3	Portland Timbers Portland	13	6	4	3	23	20	3	22
4	Seattle Sounders Seattle	14	5	5	4	23	18	5	20
5	Los Angeles FC Los Angeles	13	5	4	4	21	20	1	19
6	Colorado Rapids Colorado	13	5	4	4	16	18	-2	19
7	San Jose Earthquakes Earthquakes	14	5	2	7	27	22	5	17
8	Dallas	14	4	5	5	15	22	-7	17
9	Austin FC Austin	14	5	2	7	8	17	-9	17
10	St Louis City	14	3	4	7	11	18	-7	13
11	Houston Dynamo Houston	14	3	4	7	14	22	-8	13
12	Real Salt Lake Salt Lake	14	4	1	9	13	21	-8	13
13	Sporting Kansas City Kansas	13	3	2	8	19	23	-4	11
14	Los Angeles Galaxy LA Galaxy	13	1	4	8	12	29	-17	7
15	San Diego FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0