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Major League Soccer
May 4, 2025 at 2.15am UK
 
FC Dallas

San Diego
5 - 0
Dallas

Lozano (20' pen., 27'), Dreyer (56'), Valakari (73'), Iloski (87')
Tverskov (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Urhoghide (36'), Ramiro (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between San Diego and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: San Diego 1-3 Salt Lake
Sunday, April 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-4 Dallas
Sunday, April 27 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: San Diego 1-3 Dallas

After a solid start to their debut MLS season, San Diego appear to have run out of steam in recent weeks and will head into Sunday's clash in search of a pick-me-up. However, Dallas journey to the Snapdragon Stadium as the more in-form side and we are tipping them to extend their fine run of results on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Diego would win this match.

Result
San DiegoDrawDallas
43.81% (0.143 0.14) 23.52% (0.148 0.15) 32.66% (-0.289 -0.29)
Both teams to score 62.17% (-0.664 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.49% (-0.821 -0.82)39.5% (0.825 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.15% (-0.861 -0.86)61.85% (0.864 0.86)
San Diego Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (-0.271 -0.27)18.38% (0.274 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (-0.462 -0.46)49.52% (0.466 0.47)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18% (-0.556 -0.56)23.82% (0.558 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01% (-0.805 -0.81)57.99% (0.808 0.81)
Score Analysis
    San Diego 43.81%
    Dallas 32.66%
    Draw 23.52%
San DiegoDrawDallas
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.042 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.42% (0.219 0.22)
2-0 @ 6.28% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 43.81%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.46% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.38% (0.166 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.139 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.66%

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Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew117311810824
2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1171321101122
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati117131513222
4Inter MiamiInter Miami106312011921
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC116141812619
6Nashville SCNashville115242014617
7Orlando City114521812617
8New York City FCNY City115241313017
9New England RevolutionNew England1051497216
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114341213-115
11Chicago Fire113441822-413
12DC United113351323-1012
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta112451220-810
14Toronto11146816-87
15CF MontrealMontreal11038516-113

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver118212281426
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd115421510519
3Portland TimbersPortland115332119218
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles115241716117
5Seattle SoundersSeattle114431713416
6Colorado RapidsColorado114431516-116
7Austin FCAustin11515713-616
8Dallas114341419-515
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes114162420413
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake114071217-512
11St Louis City11245812-410
12Houston DynamoHouston112451016-610
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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