Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 37.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest San Diego win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that San Diego would win this match.