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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2025 at 3.30am UK
Earthquakes Stadium
Seattle Sounders

Earthquakes
1 - 1
Seattle

Leroux (32')
Espinoza (35'), Bouda (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rusnak (80')
Ragen (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 4-1 Earthquakes
Saturday, March 22 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Houston
Sunday, March 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Seattle Sounders

San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders have struggled to get going this season and will be looking to secure a morale-boosting result this weekend. However, we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils at PayPal Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSeattle Sounders
40.75% (-0.07 -0.07) 24.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 34.46% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 58.14% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (-0.064 -0.06)45.03% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)67.38% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)22.07% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)55.42% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (0.0020000000000024 0)60.21% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 40.75%
    Seattle Sounders 34.46%
    Draw 24.79%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSeattle Sounders
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 40.75%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.79%
1-2 @ 7.95% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.46%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Seattle

San Jose Earthquakes
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Seattle Sounders
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2024 3.30am
Seattle
2-2
Earthquakes
Morris (21', 39')
Pellegrino (16'), Marie (89')
Lopez (20'), Espinoza (38'), Gruezo (51')
Mar 24, 2024 2.30am
Earthquakes
3-2
Seattle
Costa (42'), Espinoza (43'), Ebobisse (82')
Kikanovic (70'), Skahan (90+3')
Ruidiaz (72' pen.), Musovski (81')
Teves (52'), Ragen (64')
Jul 13, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-0
Seattle
Espinoza (19' pen.), Trauco (64')

Tolo (41'), Chu (45+4')
Jun 1, 2023 3.30am
Seattle
0-1
Earthquakes

Roldan (19'), Ragen (43'), Atencio (87')
Ebobisse (48')
Marie (66'), Yueill (77')
Oct 9, 2022 10pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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