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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2025 at 3.30am UK
Earthquakes Stadium
Seattle Sounders

Earthquakes
1 - 1
Seattle

Leroux (32')
Espinoza (35'), Bouda (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rusnak (80')
Ragen (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 4-1 Earthquakes
Saturday, March 22 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Houston
Sunday, March 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Seattle Sounders

San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders have struggled to get going this season and will be looking to secure a morale-boosting result this weekend. However, we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils at PayPal Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSeattle Sounders
40.75% (-0.07 -0.07) 24.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 34.46% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 58.14% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (-0.064 -0.06)45.03% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)67.38% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)22.07% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)55.42% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (0.0020000000000024 0)60.21% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 40.75%
    Seattle Sounders 34.46%
    Draw 24.79%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSeattle Sounders
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 40.75%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.79%
1-2 @ 7.95% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.46%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Seattle

San Jose Earthquakes
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Seattle Sounders
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2024 3.30am
Seattle
2-2
Earthquakes
Morris (21', 39')
Pellegrino (16'), Marie (89')
Lopez (20'), Espinoza (38'), Gruezo (51')
Mar 24, 2024 2.30am
Earthquakes
3-2
Seattle
Costa (42'), Espinoza (43'), Ebobisse (82')
Kikanovic (70'), Skahan (90+3')
Ruidiaz (72' pen.), Musovski (81')
Teves (52'), Ragen (64')
Jul 13, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-0
Seattle
Espinoza (19' pen.), Trauco (64')

Tolo (41'), Chu (45+4')
Jun 1, 2023 3.30am
Seattle
0-1
Earthquakes

Roldan (19'), Ragen (43'), Atencio (87')
Ebobisse (48')
Marie (66'), Yueill (77')
Oct 9, 2022 10pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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