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St Louis City
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025 at 12.30am UK
CityPark
Seattle Sounders

St Louis City
1 - 0
Seattle

Lowen (15')
Kessler (71'), Becher (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ragen (14'), Ferreira (45+1'), Vargas (64'), Roldan (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LA Galaxy 0-3 St Louis City
Sunday, March 9 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cruz Azul 4-1 Seattle
Wednesday, March 12 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: St Louis City 1-0 Seattle Sounders

Reeling from their Champions Cup heartbreak, Seattle Sounders will head into Sunday looking to bounce back and put together a strong run of form in the league. However, St Louis have proven tough to crack this season and we are backing them to come away with the desired result in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Louis City in this match.

Result
St Louis CityDrawSeattle Sounders
37.13% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1) 25.06% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03) 37.8% (0.121 0.12)
Both teams to score 57.54% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.06% (0.123 0.12)45.93% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.75% (0.117 0.12)68.24% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.32% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)58.7% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03% (0.119 0.12)23.96% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (0.172 0.17)58.19% (-0.174 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    St Louis City 37.13%
    Seattle Sounders 37.8%
    Draw 25.06%
St Louis CityDrawSeattle Sounders
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.24% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 37.13%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.06%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.33% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.83% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 37.8%

How you voted: St Louis City vs Seattle

St Louis City
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Seattle Sounders
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 18, 2024 3.30am
Seattle
2-0
St Louis City
Parker (27' og.), Bell (49')
Rothrock (90+2')

Durkin (4'), Totland (38')
May 26, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City
1-2
Seattle
Totland (82')
Vassilev (35'), Blom (39'), Durkin (48')
Hiebert (66' og.), Morris (69')
Kossa-Rienzi (80'), Gomez Andrade (85')
Oct 22, 2023 2am
St Louis City
0-2
Seattle

Parker (75')
Rusnak (23'), Parker (38' og.)
Gomez Andrade (18'), Roldan (32'), Ragen (71'), Chu (80'), Atencio (87'), Lodeiro (90+5')
Apr 9, 2023 3.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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