

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 71.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 11.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.34%).
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | St Louis City |
| 71.95% ( | 16.89% ( | 11.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.12% ( | 37.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.87% ( | 60.13% ( |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.75% ( | 9.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.73% ( | 31.27% ( |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.16% ( | 43.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.01% ( | 79.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-0 @ 11.48% ( 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 3-0 @ 9.12% ( 3-1 @ 7.52% ( 4-0 @ 5.43% ( 4-1 @ 4.48% ( 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 5-0 @ 2.58% ( 5-1 @ 2.13% ( 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 6-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 4.11% Total : 71.94% | 1-1 @ 7.96% ( 0-0 @ 4.05% ( 2-2 @ 3.91% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 16.89% | 0-1 @ 3.34% ( 1-2 @ 3.28% ( 0-2 @ 1.38% ( 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 1-3 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.19% Total : 11.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 50 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 48 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 46 | 20 | 26 | 43 |
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 38 |
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 33 |
| 8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 27 |
| 9 | Toronto | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 27 |
| 10 | Nashville SCNashville | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
| 11 | DC United | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 26 |
| 12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 25 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 24 |
| 15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 22 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 44 |
| 4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 38 |
| 5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 38 |
| 6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 37 |
| 7 | Portland TimbersPortland | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 36 |
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 34 |
| 9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Austin FCAustin | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | Dallas | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 29 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 23 |
| 13 | St Louis City | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 22 |
| 14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 14 |
