

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 63.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.69%).
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 63.26% | 20.43% ( | 16.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.62% ( | 42.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.22% ( | 64.78% ( |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.24% ( | 12.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 60.97% ( | 39.03% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.88% ( | 39.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 24.17% ( | 75.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 1-0 @ 10.27% ( 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 7.26% ( 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 4-0 @ 3.74% ( 4-1 @ 3.51% ( 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 5-0 @ 1.54% ( 5-1 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 3.33% Total : 63.24% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.43% | 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 1-2 @ 4.53% ( 0-2 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 1-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 16.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| Q | | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Q | | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 3 | | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| Q | | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Q | | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| Q | | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
