Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
49.93% | 24.06% | 26.01% |
Both teams to score 55.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.08% | 45.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.77% | 68.23% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.55% | 18.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.37% | 49.62% |
Seattle Sounders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.43% | 31.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.03% | 67.97% |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
1-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 5.4% 3-0 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.39% Total : 49.93% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 5.82% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.71% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 3.87% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.75% Total : 26.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 39 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 38 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 33 |
4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 32 |
5 | Orlando City | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 30 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 27 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 26 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 25 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 25 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
13 | Toronto | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 19 |
14 | DC United | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 18 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 39 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 38 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 33 |
4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 32 |
5 | Orlando City | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 30 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 27 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 26 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 25 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 25 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
13 | Toronto | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 19 |
14 | DC United | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 18 |