Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.