Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 57.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Lorient |
| 57.48% ( | 21.59% ( | 20.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.77% ( | 40.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.4% ( | 62.6% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.21% ( | 13.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.88% ( | 41.12% ( |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.17% ( | 32.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.6% ( | 69.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Lorient |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 3-1 @ 6.54% ( 3-0 @ 5.87% ( 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 4-1 @ 3.24% ( 4-0 @ 2.91% ( 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 5-0 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 57.48% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.59% | 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0-2 @ 2.81% ( 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 20.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
| 4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
| 6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
| 8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
| 11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
| 13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
| 17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
| R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
