Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
49.34% (![]() | 22.59% (![]() | 28.06% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.75% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.43% (![]() | 37.57% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.2% (![]() | 59.8% (![]() |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.47% (![]() | 15.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.54% (![]() | 44.46% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.29% (![]() | 25.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.36% (![]() | 60.64% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 9.41% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.93% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-0 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.72% 4-0 @ 2% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.89% Total : 49.34% | 1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.8% ( ![]() Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 6.86% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |